Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

350.13 – 148.12

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

486 – 418

Prediction correct · off by 202.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 782.7 ±9.8

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 208.19Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2040DERT - Dunlap Eagles Robotics Team

Season APEX 192Event APEX 52.94Rank 36Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

498The Cobra Commanders

A+

Season APEX 318.2Event APEX 89Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 650.1 ±8.7

9757Mecha Marauders

Season APEX 220.2Event APEX -19.54Rank 66Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2522Royal Robotics

Season APEX 265.8Event APEX 150.75Rank 24Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 16.91Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 836, 2040, 498

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.1 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 836, 2040, 498

Auto

39.7 12%

Teleop

212.4 64%

Endgame

80.8 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9757, 2522, 6829

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.1 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 9757, 2522, 6829

Auto

41.5 28%

Teleop

68.8 47%

Endgame

37.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score350.1pts

Blue projected score148.1pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 202
Score range: 80–418
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 904 vs event baseline 377.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

782.7Season APEX650.1

39.7Auto41.5

212.4Teleop68.8

80.8Endgame37

40Consistency133

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	156	81
teleop	263	210
endgame	67	107
foul	0	20
total	486	418

Result

Final score

486 – 418

Prediction correct · off by 202.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.