Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
397.87 – 83.02
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
546 – 356
Prediction correct · off by 210.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 758.5 ±8.7
Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 188.34Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 114.59Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 94.94Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 687.6 ±11.9
Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 38.76Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 57.98Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 206.2Event APEX -13.72Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3620, 1792, 1002
73
/ 100 compatProjected
397.9 pts
~2.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 3620, 1792, 1002
Auto
92.9 24%
Teleop
210.9 54%
Endgame
86.5 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 30%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6766, 9072, 6940
20
/ 100 compatProjected
83 pts
~0.4 RP (championship)
Teams: 6766, 9072, 6940
Auto
-14.2 0%
Teleop
72.9 93%
Endgame
19.5 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 30%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.84 · Blue 0.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score397.9pts
Blue projected score83pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 314.9
- Score range
- 15–466
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-17
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
758.5Season APEX687.6
92.9Auto-14.2
210.9Teleop72.9
86.5Endgame19.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 129 | 50 |
| teleop | 296 | 211 |
| endgame | 106 | 95 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 546 | 356 |
Result
Final score
546 – 356
Prediction correct · off by 210.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.