Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

354.39 – 367.91

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

451 – 573

Prediction correct · off by 150.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 655.9 ±8.7

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 149.65Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 67.14Rank 67Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 137.6Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 762.6 ±9.3

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 174.35Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 125.83Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 67.73Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7220, 245, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

354.4 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 7220, 245, 4451

Auto

76.0 22%

Teleop

199.2 56%

Endgame

77.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2337, 4522, 3061

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.9 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 2337, 4522, 3061

Auto

102.5 28%

Teleop

227.0 63%

Endgame

31.0 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.54 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score354.4pts

Blue projected score367.9pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.5
Score range: 287–435
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1024 vs event baseline 371.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

655.9Season APEX762.6

76Auto102.5

199.2Teleop227

77.4Endgame31

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	165
teleop	201	295
endgame	156	108
foul	0	5
total	451	573

Result

Final score

451 – 573

Prediction correct · off by 150.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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