Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

408.06 – 277.18

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

599 – 358

Prediction correct · off by 135.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 780.3 ±8.7

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 172.29Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 168.19Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1908ShoreBots

Season APEX 230.9Event APEX 67.58Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 702.6 ±9.3

4635PrepaTec - Botbusters

Season APEX 262Event APEX 32.75Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2252The Mavericks

Season APEX 254.4Event APEX 154.85Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3770BlitzCreek

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 89.58Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 67, 6324, 1908

/ 100 compat

Projected

408.1 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 67, 6324, 1908

Auto

90.8 23%

Teleop

240.0 60%

Endgame

68.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4635, 2252, 3770

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.2 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 4635, 2252, 3770

Auto

72.8 28%

Teleop

155.1 59%

Endgame

33.1 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score408.1pts

Blue projected score277.2pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 130.9
Score range: 210–475
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 957 vs event baseline 372.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

780.3Season APEX702.6

90.8Auto72.8

240Teleop155.1

68.9Endgame33.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	69
teleop	298	197
endgame	254	82
foul	0	10
total	599	358

Result

Final score

599 – 358

Prediction correct · off by 135.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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