Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

176.28 – 421.53

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

506 – 420

Prediction missed · off by 165.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 784.7 ±9.3

8Paly Robotics

A+

Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 8.39Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX -7.26Rank 47Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 175.15Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 703.2 ±11.7

9597Luban Robotics

A+

Season APEX 324.6Event APEX 157.59Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9484Robot's District

Season APEX 158Event APEX 158.87Rank 55Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 105.07Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8, 5968, 7558

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.3 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 8, 5968, 7558

Auto

40.0 24%

Teleop

86.4 52%

Endgame

38.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9597, 9484, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

421.5 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 9597, 9484, 48

Auto

61.9 15%

Teleop

231.0 56%

Endgame

117.4 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score176.3pts

Blue projected score421.5pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -245.2
Score range: 110–488
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 926 vs event baseline 365.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

784.7Season APEX703.2

40Auto61.9

86.4Teleop231

38.4Endgame117.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	114	99
teleop	230	211
endgame	127	110
foul	35	0
total	506	420

Result

Final score

506 – 420

Prediction missed · off by 165.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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