Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

515.73 – 332.41

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

484 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 68.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 707 ±9.8

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 250.77Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7257Semiconductors

Season APEX 179.4Event APEX 113.72Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 151.24Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 526.6 ±10.5

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX 103.98Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 126.37Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 102.06Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 117, 7257, 1306

/ 100 compat

Projected

515.7 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 117, 7257, 1306

Auto

68.9 14%

Teleop

282.2 56%

Endgame

151.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11269, 3536, 7563

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.4 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 11269, 3536, 7563

Auto

39.8 13%

Teleop

210.2 66%

Endgame

66.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score515.7pts

Blue projected score332.4pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 183.3
Score range: 266–582
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 712 vs event baseline 365.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

707Season APEX526.6

68.9Auto39.8

282.2Teleop210.2

151.9Endgame66.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	62
teleop	282	137
endgame	161	24
foul	0	5
total	484	228

Result

Final score

484 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 68.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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