Qualification · Qualification 25
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
149.35 – 402.52
4%96%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
208 – 430
Prediction correct · off by 43.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 578.6 ±8.7
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 69.94Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 38.42Rank 67Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 40.99Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 740 ±9.3
Season APEX 200.8Event APEX 72.32Rank 60Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 254.4Event APEX 153.27Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 176.93Rank 9Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1002, 245, 321
38
/ 100 compatProjected
149.4 pts
~0.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 1002, 245, 321
Auto
13.2 9%
Teleop
106.7 71%
Endgame
31.1 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 619, 2252, 4391
70
/ 100 compatProjected
402.5 pts
~2.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 619, 2252, 4391
Auto
57.7 15%
Teleop
239.1 61%
Endgame
93.4 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score149.4pts
Blue projected score402.5pts
Red win probability4%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -253.2
- Score range
- 82–470
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
578.6Season APEX740
13.2Auto57.7
106.7Teleop239.1
31.1Endgame93.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 75 | 60 |
| teleop | 120 | 209 |
| endgame | 8 | 126 |
| foul | 5 | 35 |
| total | 208 | 430 |
Result
Final score
208 – 430
Prediction correct · off by 43.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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