Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

288.9 – 219.17

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

409 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 114 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 654.9 ±9.8

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 36.57Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 143.36Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 108.97Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 602.8 ±8.7

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 78.05Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 44.58Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 96.54Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3061, 67, 10217

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.9 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 3061, 67, 10217

Auto

47.1 17%

Teleop

145.6 52%

Endgame

89.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 48, 3603, 1076

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.2 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 48, 3603, 1076

Auto

34.0 16%

Teleop

135.9 63%

Endgame

46.1 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score288.9pts

Blue projected score219.2pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.7
Score range: 151–357
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 736 vs event baseline 377.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

654.9Season APEX602.8

47.1Auto34

145.6Teleop135.9

89.1Endgame46.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	110	51
teleop	258	166
endgame	41	105
foul	0	5
total	409	327

Result

Final score

409 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 114 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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