Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

191.82 – 356.03

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

198 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 10.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.4 ±12.2

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 109.52Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 68.46Rank 56Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7551Extreme Mechanism

Season APEX 179Event APEX 13.84Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 635 ±9.9

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX 34.34Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 172.65Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4635PrepaTec - Botbusters

Season APEX 262Event APEX 149.04Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7563, 2704, 7551

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.8 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 7563, 2704, 7551

Auto

34.4 19%

Teleop

97.9 54%

Endgame

49.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11269, 2337, 4635

/ 100 compat

Projected

356 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 11269, 2337, 4635

Auto

91.7 26%

Teleop

180.7 51%

Endgame

81.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score191.8pts

Blue projected score356pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -164.2
Score range: 117–431
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 569 vs event baseline 415.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529.4Season APEX635

34.4Auto91.7

97.9Teleop180.7

49.2Endgame81.2

133Consistency111

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	89
teleop	94	253
endgame	70	29
foul	0	0
total	198	371

Result

Final score

198 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 10.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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