Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

408.68 – 208.41

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

399 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 49 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 740.4 ±8.7

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 134.57Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 144.83Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 129.28Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 626.8 ±10.5

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 94.01Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4635PrepaTec - Botbusters

Season APEX 262Event APEX 95.15Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 19.25Rank 73Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3536, 1073, 360

/ 100 compat

Projected

408.7 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 3536, 1073, 360

Auto

75.5 19%

Teleop

232.4 59%

Endgame

88.6 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2638, 4635, 6652

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.4 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2638, 4635, 6652

Auto

37.8 18%

Teleop

148.3 72%

Endgame

18.8 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.69 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score408.7pts

Blue projected score208.4pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 200.3
Score range: 138–479
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 519 vs event baseline 388.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

740.4Season APEX626.8

75.5Auto37.8

232.4Teleop148.3

88.6Endgame18.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	85
teleop	256	35
endgame	76	0
foul	20	0
total	399	120

Result

Final score

399 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 49 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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