Qualification · Qualification 121

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

572.78 – 405.28

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

565 – 476

Prediction correct · off by 39.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 756.4 ±9.3

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 197.15Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 216.56Rank 9Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 159.07Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 703.4 ±8.7

1908ShoreBots

Season APEX 230.9Event APEX 122.94Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 155.15Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 127.19Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3414, 4391, 3061

/ 100 compat

Projected

572.8 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 3414, 4391, 3061

Auto

109.3 19%

Teleop

334.1 59%

Endgame

119.0 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1908, 1306, 2619

/ 100 compat

Projected

405.3 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 1908, 1306, 2619

Auto

47.7 12%

Teleop

232.4 58%

Endgame

122.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score572.8pts

Blue projected score405.3pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 167.5
Score range: 334–644
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1041 vs event baseline 396.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

756.4Season APEX703.4

109.3Auto47.7

334.1Teleop232.4

119Endgame122.8

110Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	56
teleop	302	246
endgame	146	159
foul	10	15
total	565	476

Result

Final score

565 – 476

Prediction correct · off by 39.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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