Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
194.07 – 194.07
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
453 – 181
Prediction correct · off by 136 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 714.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 254.4Event APEX -Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX -Rank 43Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.6Event APEX -Rank 20Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 561.9 ±11.2
Season APEX 232.4Event APEX -Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.3Event APEX -Rank 71Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX -Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2252, 2848, 8612
50
/ 100 compatProjected
194.1 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 2252, 2848, 8612
Auto
58.2 30%
Teleop
97.0 50%
Endgame
38.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9646, 772, 3061
50
/ 100 compatProjected
194.1 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 9646, 772, 3061
Auto
58.2 30%
Teleop
97.0 50%
Endgame
38.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score194.1pts
Blue projected score194.1pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 124–264
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
714.2Season APEX561.9
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 88 | 46 |
| teleop | 281 | 90 |
| endgame | 54 | 45 |
| foul | 30 | 0 |
| total | 453 | 181 |
Result
Final score
453 – 181
Prediction correct · off by 136 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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