Qualification · Qualification 112

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

288.83 – 229.72

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

401 – 348

Prediction correct · off by 115.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 607.6 ±9.8

2040DERT - Dunlap Eagles Robotics Team

Season APEX 192Event APEX 103.26Rank 36Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4635PrepaTec - Botbusters

Season APEX 262Event APEX 109.58Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3630Stampede

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 75.99Rank 29Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 572.8 ±9.3

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 83.53Rank 67Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 113.79Rank 43Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 32.4Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2040, 4635, 3630

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.8 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 2040, 4635, 3630

Auto

66.0 23%

Teleop

152.3 53%

Endgame

68.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 245, 2848, 10217

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.7 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 245, 2848, 10217

Auto

59.3 28%

Teleop

111.6 53%

Endgame

39.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score288.8pts

Blue projected score229.7pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 59.1
Score range: 159–360
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 749 vs event baseline 396.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

607.6Season APEX572.8

66Auto59.3

152.3Teleop111.6

68.7Endgame39.7

117Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	53
teleop	211	197
endgame	109	93
foul	10	5
total	401	348

Result

Final score

401 – 348

Prediction correct · off by 115.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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