Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
199.88 – 199.88
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
396 – 148
Prediction correct · off by 124 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 751.7 ±8.7
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX -Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX -Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.8Event APEX -Rank 24Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 618.6 ±9.9
Season APEX 181.2Event APEX -Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX -Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 305.7Event APEX -Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3770, 10340, 2522
50
/ 100 compatProjected
199.9 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 3770, 10340, 2522
Auto
60.0 30%
Teleop
99.9 50%
Endgame
40.0 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 334, 321, 8
50
/ 100 compatProjected
199.9 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 334, 321, 8
Auto
60.0 30%
Teleop
99.9 50%
Endgame
40.0 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score199.9pts
Blue projected score199.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 128–272
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
751.7Season APEX618.6
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 77 | 71 |
| teleop | 182 | 75 |
| endgame | 127 | 2 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 396 | 148 |
Result
Final score
396 – 148
Prediction correct · off by 124 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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