Qualification · Qualification 108

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

515.54 – 310.91

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

424 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 742.2 ±8.7

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 106.72Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 185.97Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 222.85Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 536.4 ±9.8

772Sabre Bytes Robotics

Season APEX 124.3Event APEX -13.56Rank 71Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 247.86Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 76.61Rank 47Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1076, 6324, 836

/ 100 compat

Projected

515.5 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 1076, 6324, 836

Auto

74.4 15%

Teleop

280.6 56%

Endgame

147.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 772, 117, 5968

/ 100 compat

Projected

310.9 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 772, 117, 5968

Auto

49.8 17%

Teleop

161.3 54%

Endgame

88.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score515.5pts

Blue projected score310.9pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 204.6
Score range: 240–587
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 699 vs event baseline 395.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

742.2Season APEX536.4

74.4Auto49.8

280.6Teleop161.3

147.5Endgame88.4

185Consistency152

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	110	37
teleop	234	139
endgame	70	99
foul	10	0
total	424	275

Result

Final score

424 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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