Qualification · Qualification 107

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

428.19 – 208.37

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

472 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 656.5 ±9.9

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 250.19Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX 30.02Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 147.98Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 526.7 ±9.9

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 21.45Rank 73Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 24.58Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 162.34Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4522, 11269, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

428.2 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 4522, 11269, 4451

Auto

100.6 24%

Teleop

215.0 50%

Endgame

111.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6652, 321, 1792

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.4 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 6652, 321, 1792

Auto

69.3 33%

Teleop

94.9 45%

Endgame

45.6 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score428.2pts

Blue projected score208.4pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 219.8
Score range: 137–499
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 764 vs event baseline 395.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

656.5Season APEX526.7

100.6Auto69.3

215Teleop94.9

111.6Endgame45.6

143Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	134	53
teleop	202	155
endgame	116	69
foul	20	15
total	472	292

Result

Final score

472 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable