Qualification · Qualification 100

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

395.23 – 316.7

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

210 – 289

Prediction missed · off by 106.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 582.9 ±9.9

8612Calvin Christian Robotics

Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 187.79Rank 20Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 103.45Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 103.99Rank 56Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 564.9 ±9.8

422The Mech Tech Dragons

Season APEX 231.2Event APEX 123.44Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2040DERT - Dunlap Eagles Robotics Team

Season APEX 192Event APEX 106.88Rank 36Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 86.38Rank 47Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8612, 3603, 2704

/ 100 compat

Projected

395.2 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 8612, 3603, 2704

Auto

67.5 18%

Teleop

225.1 58%

Endgame

93.0 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 422, 2040, 5968

/ 100 compat

Projected

316.7 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 422, 2040, 5968

Auto

63.9 21%

Teleop

153.8 51%

Endgame

84.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score395.2pts

Blue projected score316.7pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.5
Score range: 245–467
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 499 vs event baseline 397.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

582.9Season APEX564.9

67.5Auto63.9

225.1Teleop153.8

93Endgame84.4

97Consistency106

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	62
teleop	110	150
endgame	65	77
foul	0	0
total	210	289

Result

Final score

210 – 289

Prediction missed · off by 106.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.