Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
197.92 – 197.92
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
208 – 662
Prediction missed · off by 237.1 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 564.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 127.8Event APEX -Rank 75Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 181.6Event APEX -Rank 67Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX -Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 907.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 272.5Event APEX -Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 377.8Event APEX -Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 257.2Event APEX -Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10396, 245, 9072
50
/ 100 compatProjected
197.9 pts
~1.4 RP (championship)
Teams: 10396, 245, 9072
Auto
59.4 30%
Teleop
99.0 50%
Endgame
39.6 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 836, 9483, 1306
50
/ 100 compatProjected
197.9 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 836, 9483, 1306
Auto
59.4 30%
Teleop
99.0 50%
Endgame
39.6 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score197.9pts
Blue projected score197.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 22%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 127–269
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
564.1Season APEX907.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 79 |
| teleop | 127 | 372 |
| endgame | 58 | 196 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 208 | 662 |
Result
Final score
208 – 662
Prediction missed · off by 237.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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