Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

547.7 – 583.29

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

529 – 468

Prediction missed · off by 67 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 839.6 ±8.7

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 183.52Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4946The Alpha Dogs

A+

Season APEX 323.6Event APEX 191.1Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2337EngiNERDs

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 173.08Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 780.8 ±8.7

9072TigerBots

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 201.15Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 167.57Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 214.57Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6324, 4946, 2337

/ 100 compat

Projected

547.7 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 6324, 4946, 2337

Auto

106.0 20%

Teleop

300.2 56%

Endgame

133.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9072, 7220, 836

/ 100 compat

Projected

583.3 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 9072, 7220, 836

Auto

106.0 19%

Teleop

318.2 56%

Endgame

142.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score547.7pts

Blue projected score583.3pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35.6
Score range: 473–658
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 997 vs event baseline 414.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

839.6Season APEX780.8

106Auto106

300.2Teleop318.2

133.7Endgame142.8

116Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	121	123
teleop	240	250
endgame	128	95
foul	40	0
total	529	468

Result

Final score

529 – 468

Prediction missed · off by 67 pts

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