Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

610.82 – 318.3

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

262 – 451

Prediction missed · off by 240.8 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 889 ±20.8

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 195.58Rank 12Record 2-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 268.59Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 146.65Rank 10Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 955.6 ±20.2

5951Makers Assemble

Provisional

Season APEX 288.7Event APEX 98.46Rank 7Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5987Galaxia in memory of David Zohar

A+

Season APEX 327.4Event APEX 126.97Rank 1Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 92.87Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3075, 7039, 1577

/ 100 compat

Projected

610.8 pts

~3.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3075, 7039, 1577

Auto

97.8 16%

Teleop

371.8 61%

Endgame

138.1 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 70%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5951, 5987, 4590

/ 100 compat

Projected

318.3 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5951, 5987, 4590

Auto

15.4 5%

Teleop

144.4 46%

Endgame

156.2 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 70%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.63 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score610.8pts

Blue projected score318.3pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample38alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 96%, blue 96%

Supercharged bonusred 70%, blue 67%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 292.5
Score range: 246–683
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 713 vs event baseline 402.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

889Season APEX955.6

97.8Auto15.4

371.8Teleop144.4

138.1Endgame156.2

111Consistency182

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	10
teleop	164	279
endgame	48	162
foul	0	0
total	262	451

Result

Final score

262 – 451

Prediction missed · off by 240.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.