Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

419.63 – 367.57

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

419 – 474

Prediction missed · off by 53.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.4 ±43.5

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 233.56Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5951Makers Assemble

Provisional

Season APEX 288.7Event APEX 115.83Rank 7Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 70.24Rank 6Record 4-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 705 ±43.2

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 36.48Rank 11Record 2-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 241.76Rank 3Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 89.33Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7039, 5951, 5614

/ 100 compat

Projected

419.6 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7039, 5951, 5614

Auto

58.4 14%

Teleop

225.1 54%

Endgame

134.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 70%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4744, 2231, 4590

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.6 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4744, 2231, 4590

Auto

102.1 28%

Teleop

200.7 56%

Endgame

57.2 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 70%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.99 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score419.6pts

Blue projected score367.6pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample38alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 96%, blue 98%

Supercharged bonusred 70%, blue 61%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.1
Score range: 292–496
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 893 vs event baseline 422.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.4Season APEX705

58.4Auto102.1

225.1Teleop200.7

134.1Endgame57.2

124Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	104
teleop	228	286
endgame	113	69
foul	0	15
total	419	474

Result

Final score

419 – 474

Prediction missed · off by 53.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.