Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

493.67 – 331.46

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

376 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 895.6 ±20.2

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 58.14Rank 9Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5987Galaxia in memory of David Zohar

A+

Season APEX 327.4Event APEX 201.97Rank 1Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 233.56Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 652.7 ±43.2

2630Thunderbolts

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 205.65Rank 2Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 89.33Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 36.48Rank 11Record 2-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10935, 5987, 7039

/ 100 compat

Projected

493.7 pts

~3.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10935, 5987, 7039

Auto

68.4 14%

Teleop

292.2 59%

Endgame

133.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 71%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2630, 4590, 4744

/ 100 compat

Projected

331.5 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2630, 4590, 4744

Auto

89.4 28%

Teleop

168.4 52%

Endgame

64.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 71%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.45 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score493.7pts

Blue projected score331.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample38alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 96%, blue 98%

Supercharged bonusred 71%, blue 61%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 162.2
Score range: 255–570
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 663 vs event baseline 422.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

895.6Season APEX652.7

68.4Auto89.4

292.2Teleop168.4

133.4Endgame64.1

87Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	114
teleop	186	138
endgame	126	25
foul	0	0
total	376	287

Result

Final score

376 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.