Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

154.09 – 435.03

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

246 – 359

Prediction correct · off by 84 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 543.4 ±43.5

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 59.47Rank 10Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 36.48Rank 11Record 2-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 58.14Rank 9Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1070.6 ±19.7

5951Makers Assemble

Provisional

Season APEX 288.7Event APEX 115.83Rank 7Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 89.33Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1690Orbit

Season APEX 442.4Event APEX 229.87Rank 5Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1577, 4744, 10935

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.1 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1577, 4744, 10935

Auto

65.9 43%

Teleop

82.8 54%

Endgame

4.2 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 94%

Supercharged: 55%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5951, 4590, 1690

/ 100 compat

Projected

435 pts

~3.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5951, 4590, 1690

Auto

50.3 12%

Teleop

242.6 56%

Endgame

138.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 94%

Supercharged: 55%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.57 · Blue 3.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score154.1pts

Blue projected score435pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample38alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 94%, blue 96%

Supercharged bonusred 55%, blue 61%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -280.9
Score range: 78–511
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 605 vs event baseline 422.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

543.4Season APEX1070.6

65.9Auto50.3

82.8Teleop242.6

4.2Endgame138.4

94Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	8
teleop	150	192
endgame	46	159
foul	0	0
total	246	359

Result

Final score

246 – 359

Prediction correct · off by 84 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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