Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

302.44 – 476.4

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

549 – 617

Prediction correct · off by 193.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 725.3 ±42.9

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 45.35Rank 6Record 4-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 37.74Rank 10Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1690Orbit

Season APEX 442.4Event APEX 219.35Rank 5Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 635.1 ±43.2

5987Galaxia in memory of David Zohar

A+

Season APEX 327.4Event APEX 201.77Rank 1Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 41.43Rank 11Record 2-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 233.2Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5614, 1577, 1690

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.4 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5614, 1577, 1690

Auto

73.7 24%

Teleop

183.4 60%

Endgame

46.4 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 65%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5987, 4744, 7039

/ 100 compat

Projected

476.4 pts

~3.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5987, 4744, 7039

Auto

93.9 20%

Teleop

243.8 51%

Endgame

139.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 65%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.83 · Blue 3.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score302.4pts

Blue projected score476.4pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample38alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 96%, blue 98%

Supercharged bonusred 65%, blue 68%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -174
Score range: 228–550
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 1166 vs event baseline 412.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

725.3Season APEX635.1

73.7Auto93.9

183.4Teleop243.8

46.4Endgame139.4

55Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	124	96
teleop	321	331
endgame	104	175
foul	0	15
total	549	617

Result

Final score

549 – 617

Prediction correct · off by 193.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.