Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

257.78 – 695.48

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

502 – 718

Prediction correct · off by 133.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 930.1 ±20.8

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 204.54Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 7.06Rank 10Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 46.18Rank 8Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1121.1 ±18.5

1690Orbit

Season APEX 442.4Event APEX 219.34Rank 5Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 265.8Rank 3Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

2630Thunderbolts

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 210.34Rank 2Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7039, 1577, 4590

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.8 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7039, 1577, 4590

Auto

31.5 12%

Teleop

174.9 69%

Endgame

47.8 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 64%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1690, 2231, 2630

/ 100 compat

Projected

695.5 pts

~3.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1690, 2231, 2630

Auto

140.3 20%

Teleop

431.0 62%

Endgame

120.7 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 64%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.66 · Blue 3.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score257.8pts

Blue projected score695.5pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample38alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 96%, blue 98%

Supercharged bonusred 64%, blue 76%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -437.7
Score range: 186–767
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1220 vs event baseline 397.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

930.1Season APEX1121.1

31.5Auto140.3

174.9Teleop431

47.8Endgame120.7

88Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	137
teleop	249	413
endgame	158	153
foul	0	0
total	502	718

Result

Final score

502 – 718

Prediction correct · off by 133.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.