Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

366.74 – 199.85

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

392 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 625.8 ±43.2

5987Galaxia in memory of David Zohar

A+

Season APEX 327.4Event APEX 203.06Rank 1Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 55.16Rank 6Record 4-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 108.52Rank 12Record 2-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.2 ±43.5

5951Makers Assemble

Provisional

Season APEX 288.7Event APEX 127.65Rank 7Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 40.41Rank 9Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.79Rank 11Record 2-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5987, 5614, 3075

/ 100 compat

Projected

366.7 pts

~3.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5987, 5614, 3075

Auto

62.3 17%

Teleop

219.4 59%

Endgame

89.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 98%

Supercharged: 75%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5951, 10935, 4744

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.9 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5951, 10935, 4744

Auto

56.6 29%

Teleop

83.6 42%

Endgame

56.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 98%

Supercharged: 75%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.53 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score366.7pts

Blue projected score199.9pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample38alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 98%, blue 93%

Supercharged bonusred 75%, blue 56%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 166.9
Score range: 128–439
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 724 vs event baseline 400.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

625.8Season APEX549.2

62.3Auto56.6

219.4Teleop83.6

89.9Endgame56.6

48Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	63
teleop	210	157
endgame	91	112
foul	0	0
total	392	332

Result

Final score

392 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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