Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

433.31 – 259.88

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

487 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 113.8 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 620.9 ±43.2

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 195.98Rank 4Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 42.57Rank 6Record 4-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2630Thunderbolts

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 194.76Rank 2Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 832.1 ±20.8

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 65.32Rank 9Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5951Makers Assemble

Provisional

Season APEX 288.7Event APEX 157.48Rank 7Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 37.08Rank 10Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7039, 5614, 2630

/ 100 compat

Projected

433.3 pts

~3.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7039, 5614, 2630

Auto

98.5 23%

Teleop

237.4 55%

Endgame

94.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 98%

Supercharged: 76%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10935, 5951, 1577

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.9 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10935, 5951, 1577

Auto

23.0 9%

Teleop

155.0 60%

Endgame

81.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 98%

Supercharged: 76%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.56 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score433.3pts

Blue projected score259.9pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample38alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 98%, blue 91%

Supercharged bonusred 76%, blue 61%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 173.4
Score range: 186–507
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 573 vs event baseline 410.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

620.9Season APEX832.1

98.5Auto23

237.4Teleop155

94.9Endgame81.3

97Consistency152

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	17
teleop	332	68
endgame	82	1
foul	0	0
total	487	86

Result

Final score

487 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 113.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.