Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

214.27 – 107.39

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 57.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -6.17Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 88.09Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 132.35Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

5990TRIGON

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 13.89Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.16Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5715DRC

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 85.34Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11332, 2230, 5614

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11332, 2230, 5614

Auto

40.7 20%

Teleop

123.0 61%

Endgame

38.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5990, 11329, 5715

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5990, 11329, 5715

Auto

23.4 24%

Teleop

45.2 47%

Endgame

28.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score214.3pts

Blue projected score107.4pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.9
Score range: 73–248
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 277 vs event baseline 190.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

40.7Auto23.4

123Teleop45.2

38.6Endgame28.6

0Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	18
teleop	118	6
endgame	33	4
foul	15	0
total	249	28

Result

Final score

249 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 57.1 pts