Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

223.44 – 117.04

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

119 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 60.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 118.11Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7177Turismo

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 33.8Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

78458BIT

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 71.53Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

5990TRIGON

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 16.55Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.21Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5715DRC

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 89.28Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8175, 7177, 7845

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8175, 7177, 7845

Auto

31.4 16%

Teleop

126.0 66%

Endgame

34.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5990, 11329, 5715

/ 100 compat

Projected

117 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5990, 11329, 5715

Auto

27.4 26%

Teleop

56.3 54%

Endgame

20.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score223.4pts

Blue projected score117pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.4
Score range: 83–257
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 187.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

31.4Auto27.4

126Teleop56.3

34.2Endgame20.4

6Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	26
teleop	81	16
endgame	9	53
foul	0	5
total	119	100

Result

Final score

119 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 60.7 pts