Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

294.41 – 80.45

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

429 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 77.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11471Neon

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.72Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3316D-Bug

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 142.7Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1942Cinderella Tel-Nof

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 138.99Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11390Habsor

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -4.15Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6230Team Koi

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 28.58Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1943Neat Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 56.02Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11471, 3316, 1942

/ 100 compat

Projected

294.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11471, 3316, 1942

Auto

63.5 21%

Teleop

180.8 61%

Endgame

52.8 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11390, 6230, 1943

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11390, 6230, 1943

Auto

22.4 29%

Teleop

36.9 48%

Endgame

17.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score294.4pts

Blue projected score80.5pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 214
Score range: 46–328
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 489 vs event baseline 186.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

63.5Auto22.4

180.8Teleop36.9

52.8Endgame17.9

0Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	104	16
teleop	219	25
endgame	106	19
foul	0	0
total	429	60

Result

Final score

429 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 77.5 pts