Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

207.05 – 106.5

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

155 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 53.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -8.48Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 85.8Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 129.73Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

5928MetalBoost

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 20.46Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 36.64Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 49.4Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11332, 2230, 5614

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11332, 2230, 5614

Auto

44.1 22%

Teleop

127.5 64%

Endgame

28.5 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5928, 11070, 6740

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5928, 11070, 6740

Auto

16.3 16%

Teleop

63.1 61%

Endgame

24.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score207.1pts

Blue projected score106.5pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100.6
Score range: 73–241
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 188.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

44.1Auto16.3

127.5Teleop63.1

28.5Endgame24.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	21
teleop	72	7
endgame	47	18
foul	15	5
total	155	51

Result

Final score

155 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 53.8 pts