Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

204.06 – 89.65

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 110.96Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7177Turismo

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 28.5Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

78458BIT

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 64.6Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 41.52Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.77Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5928MetalBoost

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 17.36Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8175, 7177, 7845

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8175, 7177, 7845

Auto

31.3 17%

Teleop

119.5 66%

Endgame

31.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6740, 11070, 5928

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6740, 11070, 5928

Auto

17.5 20%

Teleop

46.3 54%

Endgame

22.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score204.1pts

Blue projected score89.7pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 114.4
Score range: 56–238
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 351 vs event baseline 189.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

31.3Auto17.5

119.5Teleop46.3

31.3Endgame22.7

6Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	21
teleop	150	56
endgame	16	0
foul	35	25
total	249	102

Result

Final score

249 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts