Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.76 – 111.33

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 41

Prediction missed · off by 94.8 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.59Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1942Cinderella Tel-Nof

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 70.25Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11471Neon

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -27.08Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11478Nexus

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 38.78Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 35.59Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2212The Spikes

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 36.96Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11329, 1942, 11471

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11329, 1942, 11471

Auto

28.5 48%

Teleop

35.0 59%

Endgame

-4.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11478, 2230, 2212

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11478, 2230, 2212

Auto

18.4 18%

Teleop

71.7 71%

Endgame

10.3 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.8pts

Blue projected score111.3pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.6
Score range: 23–144
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 216 vs event baseline 180.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

28.5Auto18.4

35Teleop71.7

-4.5Endgame10.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	5
teleop	136	23
endgame	8	13
foul	0	0
total	175	41

Result

Final score

175 – 41

Prediction missed · off by 94.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree