Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.34 – 170.5

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 57.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 99.18Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11471Neon

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.86Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11478Nexus

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -28.7Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 3.74Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5990TRIGON

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 9.19Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3316D-Bug

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 157.57Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2230, 11471, 11478

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2230, 11471, 11478

Auto

32.4 38%

Teleop

44.8 52%

Endgame

8.6 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11329, 5990, 3316

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11329, 5990, 3316

Auto

52.9 32%

Teleop

73.8 45%

Endgame

37.4 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.3pts

Blue projected score170.5pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.2
Score range: 57–208
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 203.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

32.4Auto52.9

44.8Teleop73.8

8.6Endgame37.4

0Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	75
teleop	12	40
endgame	7	5
foul	0	0
total	29	120

Result

Final score

29 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 57.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree