Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.63 – 364.89

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

179 – 382

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 44.51Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -13.56Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 79.68Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 194.98Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1942Cinderella Tel-Nof

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 137.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7177Turismo

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 32.65Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6740, 11332, 2230

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6740, 11332, 2230

Auto

34.5 30%

Teleop

53.4 46%

Endgame

27.1 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4744, 1942, 7177

/ 100 compat

Projected

364.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4744, 1942, 7177

Auto

71.6 21%

Teleop

222.4 64%

Endgame

54.8 16%

Strengths

· 4744 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.6pts

Blue projected score364.9pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -254.3
Score range: 78–398
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 561 vs event baseline 185.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

34.5Auto71.6

53.4Teleop222.4

27.1Endgame54.8

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	74
teleop	103	274
endgame	20	34
foul	5	0
total	179	382

Result

Final score

179 – 382

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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