Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

149.54 – 40.99

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 94.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

2212The Spikes

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 3.07Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3316D-Bug

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 129.84Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1937Elysium

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 16.63Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

1943Neat Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 54.91Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5928MetalBoost

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.72Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11478Nexus

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -33.64Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2212, 3316, 1937

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2212, 3316, 1937

Auto

33.4 22%

Teleop

80.5 54%

Endgame

35.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1943, 5928, 11478

/ 100 compat

Projected

41 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1943, 5928, 11478

Auto

1.1 3%

Teleop

13.4 41%

Endgame

18.0 55%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score149.5pts

Blue projected score41pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.5
Score range: 8–183
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 380 vs event baseline 185.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

33.4Auto1.1

80.5Teleop13.4

35.8Endgame18

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	12
teleop	187	52
endgame	119	2
foul	0	0
total	314	66

Result

Final score

314 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 94.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree