Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

118.46 – 86.07

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

189 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

5715DRC

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 87.81Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6230Team Koi

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.6Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.05Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11471Neon

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 17.6Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 43.02Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4320The Joker

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 25.45Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5715, 6230, 11329

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5715, 6230, 11329

Auto

27.2 23%

Teleop

71.7 60%

Endgame

21.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11471, 11070, 4320

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11471, 11070, 4320

Auto

20.3 27%

Teleop

40.6 54%

Endgame

14.4 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score118.5pts

Blue projected score86.1pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.4
Score range: 52–152
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 187.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

27.2Auto20.3

71.7Teleop40.6

21.2Endgame14.4

38Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	26
teleop	78	21
endgame	61	4
foul	30	0
total	189	51

Result

Final score

189 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree