Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

149.01 – 84.42

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

306 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.99Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3316D-Bug

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 116.09Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11471Neon

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 1.93Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

4320The Joker

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 21.77Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.67Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1943Neat Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 54.98Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6740, 3316, 11471

/ 100 compat

Projected

149 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6740, 3316, 11471

Auto

55.8 36%

Teleop

66.2 43%

Endgame

31.2 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4320, 11329, 1943

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4320, 11329, 1943

Auto

26.6 37%

Teleop

23.3 33%

Endgame

21.1 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score149pts

Blue projected score84.4pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.6
Score range: 51–182
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 395 vs event baseline 184.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

55.8Auto26.6

66.2Teleop23.3

31.2Endgame21.1

0Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	17
teleop	169	39
endgame	68	33
foul	0	0
total	306	89

Result

Final score

306 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree