Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

243.86 – 222.9

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

373 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

3316D-Bug

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 105.07Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1942Cinderella Tel-Nof

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 128.19Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5928MetalBoost

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 10.6Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 5.37Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 193.81Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4320The Joker

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.72Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3316, 1942, 5928

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3316, 1942, 5928

Auto

60.1 24%

Teleop

142.2 58%

Endgame

43.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11329, 4744, 4320

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11329, 4744, 4320

Auto

74.2 34%

Teleop

117.5 53%

Endgame

28.2 13%

Strengths

· 4744 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score243.9pts

Blue projected score222.9pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21
Score range: 190–277
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 634 vs event baseline 181.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

60.1Auto74.2

142.2Teleop117.5

43.2Endgame28.2

14Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	68
teleop	215	123
endgame	106	50
foul	10	20
total	373	261

Result

Final score

373 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.