Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.27 – 244.19

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 65 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.22Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2212The Spikes

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.49Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6230Team Koi

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.56Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.4 ±57.8

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -4.9Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11478Nexus

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -13.34Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 262.43Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6740, 2212, 6230

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6740, 2212, 6230

Auto

-2.8 0%

Teleop

28.0 55%

Endgame

25.8 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11332, 11478, 3075

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11332, 11478, 3075

Auto

50.5 21%

Teleop

120.5 50%

Endgame

68.4 29%

Strengths

· 3075 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.3pts

Blue projected score244.2pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -196.9
Score range: 14–277
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 249 vs event baseline 182.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX298.4

-2.8Auto50.5

28Teleop120.5

25.8Endgame68.4

18Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	46
teleop	40	68
endgame	34	44
foul	0	0
total	91	158

Result

Final score

91 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 65 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree