Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.77 – 180.67

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

459 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 147.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 110.04Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 44.76Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

78458BIT

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 46.97Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 55.13Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 117.71Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1937Elysium

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.83Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5614, 2230, 7845

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5614, 2230, 7845

Auto

26.2 14%

Teleop

136.4 72%

Endgame

26.3 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11070, 8175, 1937

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11070, 8175, 1937

Auto

23.1 13%

Teleop

119.2 67%

Endgame

35.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score201.8pts

Blue projected score180.7pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.1
Score range: 148–235
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 677 vs event baseline 181.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

26.2Auto23.1

136.4Teleop119.2

26.3Endgame35.5

49Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	31
teleop	289	101
endgame	51	66
foul	25	20
total	459	218

Result

Final score

459 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 147.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree