Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

413.99 – 39.36

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

442 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 17.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.4 ±57.8

4320The Joker

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.43Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 258.5Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1942Cinderella Tel-Nof

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 126.06Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -6.22Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.35Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5928MetalBoost

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 16.23Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4320, 3075, 1942

/ 100 compat

Projected

414 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4320, 3075, 1942

Auto

60.1 15%

Teleop

244.0 60%

Endgame

99.4 25%

Strengths

· 3075 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11332, 6740, 5928

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11332, 6740, 5928

Auto

17.9 42%

Teleop

3.1 7%

Endgame

21.8 51%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.71 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score414pts

Blue projected score39.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 374.6
Score range: 7–446
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 489 vs event baseline 179.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.4Season APEX0

60.1Auto17.9

244Teleop3.1

99.4Endgame21.8

24Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	114	19
teleop	222	17
endgame	106	11
foul	0	0
total	442	47

Result

Final score

442 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 17.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree