Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

271.45 – 0

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

328 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 113.72Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 107.21Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7177Turismo

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 50.52Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

1937Elysium

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 2.63Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11478Nexus

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -14.08Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0.64Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8175, 5614, 7177

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8175, 5614, 7177

Auto

24.6 10%

Teleop

153.4 64%

Endgame

61.1 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1937, 11478, 11329

/ 100 compat

Projected

-10.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1937, 11478, 11329

Auto

14.0 0%

Teleop

-8.3 57%

Endgame

-20.2 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score271.5pts

Blue projected score-10.8pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 271.5
Score range: -32–303
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 383 vs event baseline 180.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

24.6Auto14

153.4Teleop-8.3

61.1Endgame-20.2

14Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	12
teleop	228	20
endgame	68	23
foul	5	0
total	328	55

Result

Final score

328 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree