Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

139.5 – 286.8

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

175 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

7177Turismo

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.13Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5990TRIGON

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 9.19Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 99.18Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.4 ±57.8

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 242.34Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 40.72Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 3.74Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7177, 5990, 2230

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7177, 5990, 2230

Auto

28.7 24%

Teleop

67.6 56%

Endgame

25.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3075, 6740, 11329

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3075, 6740, 11329

Auto

62.7 22%

Teleop

148.5 52%

Endgame

74.4 26%

Strengths

· 3075 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.5pts

Blue projected score286.8pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147.3
Score range: 103–324
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 443 vs event baseline 203.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX298.4

28.7Auto62.7

67.6Teleop148.5

25.1Endgame74.4

19Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	62
teleop	73	154
endgame	37	47
foul	30	5
total	175	268

Result

Final score

175 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree