Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.98 – 101.89

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

105 – 217

Prediction missed · off by 58.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

6230Team Koi

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.48Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1943Neat Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 51.05Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 43.45Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -19.91Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11390Habsor

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 5.1Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1942Cinderella Tel-Nof

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 116.7Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6230, 1943, 11070

/ 100 compat

Projected

103 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6230, 1943, 11070

Auto

13.9 15%

Teleop

61.6 65%

Endgame

18.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11332, 11390, 1942

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11332, 11390, 1942

Auto

28.6 26%

Teleop

72.3 66%

Endgame

8.4 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103pts

Blue projected score101.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.1
Score range: 70–135
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 176.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

13.9Auto28.6

61.6Teleop72.3

18.6Endgame8.4

16Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	32
teleop	57	141
endgame	25	39
foul	0	5
total	105	217

Result

Final score

105 – 217

Prediction missed · off by 58.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree