Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

171.76 – 107.03

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

140 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 28.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 116.27Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4320The Joker

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 32.94Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2212The Spikes

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 22.55Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.47Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7177Turismo

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 63Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5990TRIGON

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 20.56Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5614, 4320, 2212

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5614, 4320, 2212

Auto

10.6 7%

Teleop

92.3 57%

Endgame

59.6 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6740, 7177, 5990

/ 100 compat

Projected

107 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6740, 7177, 5990

Auto

22.5 27%

Teleop

16.3 20%

Endgame

44.2 53%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score171.8pts

Blue projected score107pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.7
Score range: 75–204
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 179.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

10.6Auto22.5

92.3Teleop16.3

59.6Endgame44.2

0Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	20
teleop	74	44
endgame	31	17
foul	30	0
total	140	81

Result

Final score

140 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 28.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree