Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

163.38 – 423.6

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

180 – 382

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

1943Neat Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 47.16Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6230Team Koi

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.44Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1942Cinderella Tel-Nof

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 111.78Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.4 ±57.8

11471Neon

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.95Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 134.21Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 257.44Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1943, 6230, 1942

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1943, 6230, 1942

Auto

16.4 10%

Teleop

121.5 75%

Endgame

24.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11471, 8175, 3075

/ 100 compat

Projected

423.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11471, 8175, 3075

Auto

62.3 15%

Teleop

246.8 58%

Endgame

116.4 27%

Strengths

· 3075 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score163.4pts

Blue projected score423.6pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -260.2
Score range: 131–456
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 562 vs event baseline 175.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX298.4

16.4Auto62.3

121.5Teleop246.8

24.9Endgame116.4

22Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	98
teleop	108	215
endgame	37	54
foul	0	15
total	180	382

Result

Final score

180 – 382

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree