Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.39 – 23.9

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 11

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.04Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3316D-Bug

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 114.58Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11390Habsor

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0.77Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

1937Elysium

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -0.7Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -20.71Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 45.31Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2230, 3316, 11390

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2230, 3316, 11390

Auto

57.7 37%

Teleop

60.1 39%

Endgame

36.4 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1937, 11332, 11070

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1937, 11332, 11070

Auto

12.5 56%

Teleop

30.9 100%

Endgame

-21.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134.4pts

Blue projected score23.9pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 110.5
Score range: -8–166
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 186 vs event baseline 178.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

57.7Auto12.5

60.1Teleop30.9

36.4Endgame-21

13Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	9
teleop	90	2
endgame	5	0
foul	15	0
total	175	11

Result

Final score

175 – 11

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree