Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

256.66 – 256.76

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

288 – 241

Prediction missed · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

1942Cinderella Tel-Nof

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 109.25Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 123.65Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.76Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

6230Team Koi

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.86Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11471Neon

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 34.69Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 206.21Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1942, 8175, 6740

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1942, 8175, 6740

Auto

26.9 11%

Teleop

152.7 60%

Endgame

72.8 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6230, 11471, 4744

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6230, 11471, 4744

Auto

64.7 25%

Teleop

163.6 63%

Endgame

33.1 13%

Strengths

· 4744 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score256.7pts

Blue projected score256.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.1
Score range: 225–289
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 529 vs event baseline 176.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

26.9Auto64.7

152.7Teleop163.6

72.8Endgame33.1

12Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	73
teleop	167	144
endgame	61	24
foul	20	0
total	288	241

Result

Final score

288 – 241

Prediction missed · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree