Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

269.38 – 39.97

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

165 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 80.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

3316D-Bug

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 141.08Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 126.68Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 1.62Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -15.18Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2212The Spikes

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 22.91Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 32.24Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3316, 5614, 11332

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3316, 5614, 11332

Auto

58.9 22%

Teleop

148.4 56%

Endgame

59.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11329, 2212, 11070

/ 100 compat

Projected

40 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11329, 2212, 11070

Auto

2.5 7%

Teleop

38.4 100%

Endgame

-5.7 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score269.4pts

Blue projected score40pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 229.4
Score range: 8–301
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 178.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

58.9Auto2.5

148.4Teleop38.4

59.2Endgame-5.7

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	23
teleop	62	25
endgame	42	19
foul	0	30
total	165	97

Result

Final score

165 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 80.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree